The
Indian economy expanded 3.1 percent year-on-year in the first quarter
of 2020, beating market forecasts of a 2.1 percent rise. Still, it is
the slowest GDP growth since quarterly data became available in 2004, as
the country imposed a nationwide lockdown from March 24th aiming to
contain the spread of the coronavirus. On the expenditure side, faster
declines were seen for gross fixed capital formation (-6.5% vs -5.2% in
Q4) and exports (-8.5% vs -6.1%) while imports fell at a slower pace
(-7% vs -12.4%). Also, both private spending (2.7% vs 6.6%) and
inventories (0.5% vs 1.1%) slowed sharply. On the production side,
output fell for manufacturing (-1.4% vs -0.8%), the third straight
quarter of contraction and construction (-2.2% vs 0%) and slowed for
trade, hotels and transportation (2.6% vs 4.3%), finance and real estate
(2.4% vs 3.3%) and public administration and defense (10.1% vs 10.9%).
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